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日期:2024-10-03
The Supreme Court’s rulings on a pair of landmark cases on Wednesday, which overturned the federal Defense of Marriage Act and effectively legalized same-sex marriage in California, are the latest in a recent series of legal and legislative victories for ...
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日期:2024-10-06
FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver's newly launched website at ESPN, uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about politics, science, economics, lifestyle, and sports. ... Terms of Use and Privacy Policy and Safety Information/Your...
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日期:2024-10-01
Archives of Nate Silver's statistic-based political analysis and election forecasts using his own prediction models....
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日期:2024-10-03
The latest from FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight). The home of Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight on Twitter. Politics, Economics, Science, Life, Sports. New York, NY....
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日期:2024-10-02
Nate Silver is halfway through his cheeseburger and a few sips into his third Coca-Cola when he pauses to say, "I think . . ." before trailing off, midsentence, to reach for a french fry. Silver tends to follow this pattern throughout a meal: Talk, stop, ...
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日期:2024-10-01
Nate Silver describes his outlook on the 2016 US presidential election. Who will run? When will Hillary Clinton decide? From the session "Why Are You the One Who Got the Election Right?" at the 2013 Aspen Ideas Festival. Watch the entire conversation at: ...
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日期:2024-10-04
Political Wire: Tweet This post:Tweet In response to the “Twitter-crit” post below, Nate Silver wrote a longer piece for Political Wire. There’s also this interesting analysis by Daniel Altman at The Daily Beast. This Monday morning, I replied in Politica...
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日期:2024-10-04
PROBABLY As of press time, Nate Silver is probably a witch. His unusually accurate predictions are, thus far, explained by his use of validated statistical methods. His disregard of momentum, gut feelings, and the interpretations of people paid to promote...